Premier League relegation odds 2026/27: Predictions and tips as newly-promoted trio start as favourites for the drop

NOBODY wants to see their club at a short price in the Premier League relegation odds, but that doesn’t stop it being one of the most active and dramatic betting markets in football.

Three of the 20 top-flight sides will be banished from the Premier League at the end of the season in a battle that’s often more closely fought, and entertaining, than the title race itself.

As is often the case, the three promoted sides started as favourites for an immediate return to the Championship, with Hull City, Coventry City and Ipswich Town leading the relegation betting. Hull have already made a mess of that assumption, winning their opening two games to sit third.

All three promoted sides went straight back down in 2023-24 and again in 2024-25, but Leeds United and Sunderland bucked that trend last year, with the Black Cats returning after an eight-year absence to finish seventh and qualify for the Europa League.

It proved it can be done, and it also demonstrated the value to be found in the relegation market, with the more established West Ham going down despite starting the campaign at 5/1 for relegation.

Quick tips for the 2026/27 Premier League relegation market

Back Hull to finish rock-bottom – 13/8 with bet365
Get Ipswich Town to avoid the drop – 8/13 with Betfred
Choose Fulham to be relegated – 11/4 with Coral

Latest Premier League relegation odds

Below are the latest Premier League relegation odds for the 2026/27 season.

Premier League relegation odds for the 2026/27 season, compared across bet365, Coral and Betfred

Team
bet365
Coral
Betfred

Hull City
bet3652/5
Coral4/11
Betfred4/9

Coventry City
bet3654/9
Coral4/9
Betfred4/9

Ipswich Town
bet3656/5
Coral6/5
Betfred6/5

Fulham
bet3655/2
Coral12/5
Betfred5/2

Sunderland
bet3655/2
Coral12/5
Betfred14/5

Crystal Palace
bet36511/4
Coral13/5
Betfred11/4

Nottingham Forest
bet3657/1
Coral6/1
Betfred13/2

Leeds United
bet36510/1
Coral9/1
Betfred10/1

Everton
bet36510/1
Coral11/1
Betfred10/1

Bournemouth
bet36512/1
Coral11/1
Betfred12/1

Tottenham Hotspur
bet36512/1
Coral12/1
Betfred14/1

Manchester City
bet36514/1
Coral12/1
Betfred14/1

Newcastle United
bet36520/1
Coral14/1
Betfred16/1

Aston Villa
bet36520/1
Coral14/1
Betfred12/1

Brighton & Hove Albion
bet36525/1
Coral28/1
Betfred28/1

Brentford
bet36533/1
Coral22/1
Betfred28/1

Manchester United
bet365250/1
Coral200/1
Betfred150/1

Chelsea
bet365250/1
Coral80/1
Betfred150/1

Liverpool
bet365250/1
Coral250/1
Betfred400/1

Arsenal
bet3651500/1
Coral750/1
Betfred1000/1

Odds correct on 3 September 2026.
Prices are subject to change. 18+. Begambleaware.org. Commercial content.

The promoted trio

Let’s take a closer look at the three promoted sides and their chances of survival.

Coventry City

Coventry won the Championship by 11 points under Frank Lampard, who inherited the club just two points above the relegation zone in November 2024. It’s some turnaround story and marks their first top-flight return since 2001.

They’ve also been busy in the transfer market, with Lampard breaking the club’s transfer record four times and £86.2 million spent by the time the window closed. Two defeats from two, and a goal difference of -4, have made for a chastening introduction.

The big question is whether all that can translate to the Premier League. Only seven players in the squad have top-flight experience and Lampard’s own record is mixed, with his last spell at Chelsea ending badly. Goals could be their saving grace. The Sky Blues scored 97 goals last season, making them the highest scorers across English football’s top four tiers.

Ipswich Town

Lessons seemed to have been learned at Portman Road, and there’s more than a few reasons to think their return to the Premier League won’t be so fleeting on this occasion.

The Tractor Boys have recruited players with Premier League experience and physicality, while Brazilian arrival Emersonn and deadline-day signing Zian Flemming, from Burnley, should boost an attack that managed only 36 goals on their last visit to the top flight. A 2-1 win over Sunderland on the opening weekend was the start they needed, even if a 5-2 defeat at Old Trafford followed.

Clearly, the big negative is the departure of Kieran McKenna, but perhaps that’s not the death sentence many make it out to be, with Gary O’Neil a talented manager with plenty of experience in Premier League relegation battles.

It looks to me, at least, that Ipswich have followed a similar recruitment blueprint to Sunderland last summer, adding a blend of steel and pace. Yes, that worked out alright.

Hull City

Having predicted Hull to be relegated from the Championship last season, I’m now in the embarrassing position of evaluating their chances of Premier League survival.

I wasn’t the only one surprised. The Tigers barely survived the drop in 2024/25 but, under Sergej Jakirovic, they secured 6th place on the final day with 73 points – a tally achieved despite recording only 53.1 expected points, better than only relegated Sheffield Wednesday. They defeated Millwall over two legs, before beating Middlesbrough in the final.

Hull have answered the first question emphatically, beating Manchester United 2-0 on the opening weekend and then edging Coventry City through Liam Millar’s winner to sit third after two games.

Whether it holds is another matter. The Tigers have undergone a huge turnover of players this summer, there is little collective Premier League experience, and Jakirovic has never managed in the top flight. Hull also conceded 66 goals last season, the joint fourth-worst defensive record in the Championship.

They’ve got fight, and they have made a far better start than anyone forecast, but the hardest part of the schedule is still in front of them.

Last season’s strugglers

Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace and Leeds United all finished in the bottom half last season and had their moments flirting with relegation. Ultimately, all three survived with at least two matches to spare, leaving Tottenham and West Ham to fight it out for the final relegation spot.

Tottenham were the real escape artists. They finished 17th on 41 points, just two ahead of West Ham thanks to a final-day win over Everton. The bookies did not expect a repeat, pricing Spurs at around 50/1 before a ball was kicked, but Roberto De Zerbi’s side have lost both of their opening games and sit bottom of the table with a goal difference of -5 despite one of the heaviest summer spends in the division. That price has already moved.

Who might get dragged in?

Now this is where the money is made. If you can identify a mid-table side who aren’t quite as solid as they appear, chances are you’ll be rewarded handsomely.

So who fits that bracket? Sunderland are a possibility, balancing ‘second-season syndrome’ with European commitments. There’s also the fact that only Man City and Aston Villa overperformed their xG numbers by more than the Black Cats. They were slow to move in the market too, restrained by UEFA’s squad cost ratio rules now they are in Europe, but a deadline-day flurry brought in Kevin Danso, Dayann Methalie and a late move for Lyon winger Malick Fofana, adding to the earlier arrival of Thomas Meunier.

Leeds, meanwhile, have no European concerns and have strengthened in the summer window with James Trafford, Tarik Muharemovic and Harry Wilson all arriving at Elland Road. A settled side, although goals are of slight concern given Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s injury record and the fact he accounted for 28% of their Premier League goals last season.

Fulham are another interesting case. The Cottagers lost Marco Silva after five years and replaced him with Alvaro Arbeloa, a huge gamble given his lack of experience outside Real Madrid. The new boss also inherits a squad in transition, with Fulham moving towards younger players after previously relying on experienced pros.

Harry Wilson and Raul Jimenez have departed after producing 29 Premier League goal involvements between them last season. The new recruits look to have high ceilings, but there’s no guarantee they’ll adapt quickly.

Recent Premier League relegations: a pattern worth knowing

There has been a pretty clear pattern in Premier League relegation battles in recent seasons. And almost none of those patterns read well for the newcomers.

Over the past five campaigns, Burnley have gone down three times, making them the division’s ultimate “yo-yo club”, while Leicester and Southampton aren’t far behind, going down twice each.

But, as every fan of a newly promoted club has been saying all summer, last season bucked the trend with Leeds and Sunderland not just surviving but thriving in the top division. West Ham and Wolves can attest that even established clubs who have been comfortable in mid-table can suddenly find themselves in serious trouble.

SeasonRelegated teams2025/26West Ham United, Burnley, Wolverhampton Wanderers2024/25Leicester City, Ipswich Town, Southampton2023/24Luton Town, Burnley, Sheffield United2022/23Leicester City, Leeds United, Southampton2021/22Norwich City, Watford, Burnley

What are the keys to beating the drop?

There isn’t a magic formula for survival, unfortunately. One fairly underrated pillar is home form. Turning your home ground into a fortress is absolutely key, especially for newly promoted sides.

Leeds are a good example. Daniel Farke’s side collected 32 of their 47 points at Elland Road last season, which is 68%. It was the same story for the likes of Newcastle, Fulham and Sunderland, who all won just four away from home but still comfortably avoided the drop.

Managerial stability is often helpful, although Nottingham Forest somewhat debunked that theory after going through four managers last season and surviving.

Falling too far behind early in the season can also leave too much ground to make up, particularly for promoted sides. In fact, none of the 16 promoted teams to win at least eight points from their opening five Premier League games have gone straight back down.

Hull already have six points from two games, which puts them within touching distance of that marker.

My Premier League relegation betting tips

Here are my relegation tips for the 2026-27 Premier League season.

To finish bottom

Hull to finish bottom looked the standout bet before a ball was kicked, and the price has drifted a long way since. It remains somewhat of a miracle that the Tigers escaped the Championship in the first place, with only three clubs conceding more goals than they did.

The bulk of their new signings were made to remedy exactly that, and the early returns have been far better than anyone forecast. But a rebuilt squad still has to gel across a full season, and Aston Villa, Chelsea and Newcastle United all feature among their first five opponents. If you fancied Hull to go down, the value is considerably better now than it was in August.

➡️ Back Hull to finish rock-bottom at 13/8 with bet365

Not to be relegated

Gary O’Neil has given Ipswich a much more physical defensive core, with Sasa Lukic, Florentino and Issa Diop adding steel and Premier League experience. New 6’9″ goalkeeper Kjell Scherpen has Champions League experience, while Daizen Maeda and Abdul Fatawu provide electric pace on the wings.

Ipswich conceded just 47 goals and kept 17 clean sheets in the Championship last season, so there’s plenty to like if O’Neil can stitch it together. Goals were my only major concern, and Zian Flemming’s deadline-day arrival from Burnley goes some way to answering it.

➡️ Get Ipswich Town to avoid the drop at 8/13 with Betfred

To be relegated

And the final piece of the puzzle? Fulham to be relegated at 5/1 with Coral. The mood around Craven Cottage is uncertain, and for good reason. Marco Silva has left the building, while experienced quartet Issa Diop, Sasa Lukic, Harry Wilson and Raul Jimenez have also departed.

Alvaro Arbeloa is the man appointed to lead Fulham into a new era, but the Spaniard has managed just 28 competitive games in his only senior position at Real Madrid. That’s a gamble.

So are the new additions in Gonzalo Garcia, Shea Charles and Cesar Palacios. The Spanish pair have never played outside Spain, while Charles has just 27 minutes of Premier League football under his belt.

It’s all very hopeful, with the new season built on faith and potential. If things nosedive early on, it could be difficult to wrestle things back. Two defeats from two have done nothing to settle the mood.

➡️ Choose Fulham to be relegated at 11/4 with Coral

How to follow the latest Premier League news and results

The relegation picture can change quickly, so keeping on top of managerial changes, injuries and results will be crucial when looking for value. A couple of bad results can drag a team into trouble, while a new manager or key signing can quickly change the outlook.

It’s also worth remembering that bookmakers can be slow to give up on established Premier League clubs. West Ham were around Evens for relegation as late as April last season, despite their situation becoming increasingly precarious.

Premier League 2026/27 relegation FAQs

1. Who are the favourites to be relegated from the Premier League?

Hull City, Coventry City and Ipswich Town are the three favourites, with the promoted trio all priced at relatively short odds for an immediate return to the Championship.

2. How likely is it that all three promoted teams go straight back down?

It is certainly possible, but far from inevitable. All three promoted clubs went straight back down in both 2023/24 and 2024/25, but Leeds United and Sunderland both survived last season.

3. Has a Premier League champion ever been relegated?

Yes. Blackburn Rovers and Leicester City are the only two former Premier League champions to have been relegated.

4. How many points are usually needed to survive relegation?

Around 36 points is usually enough to survive, although 40 points is still considered the traditional safety target.

About the author

Craig Mahood

Craig Mahood is an expert in sports betting and online casinos and has worked with the company since 2020. He joined the Betting & Gaming team at The Sun in June 2022 and works closely with the leading bookmakers and online gaming companies to provide content on all areas of sports betting and gaming. He previously worked as a Digital Sports Reporter at the Scottish Sun, covering Scottish football with particular focus on Celtic and Rangers, As well as football, he has covered horse racing, boxing, darts, the Olympics and tennis for the Sun.

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